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The Essentials

The blog is written by John Forman, author of The Essentials of Trading. It contains his thoughts on trading and the markets.

Want To See Aud/jpy Pull-back To Set Up A Buy

Posted on 01/09/2007 06:27 AM | Link | Post Comment

I'm keeping my eye on AUD/JPY right now. The cross has a very strong tendency to finish January higher (see Opportunities in Forex Calendar Trading Patterns), so I'm watching for good buying opportunities. One might be forming right now.

Take a look at what's building on the 3 hour chart below. You can see the big drop that the market suffered last week thanks to a bout of strength in the Yen. A decent bounce has taken place in the last day or so.



Notice that the Bollinger Bands have narrowed down from a rather wide situation. They are, in fact, starting to widen out just a touch thanks to the rally we have seen of late.

Here's what I'm looking for. I want to see the cross pull back toward the 92.60 or 92.70 level. If is does so and it looks likely to bounce from that area, I would want to be a buyer in anticipation of a move significantly higher. A fairly low pip risk position could be put on with an upside to probably 94 in the near term.

Note: This analysis is taken from daily commentary provide free to members of The Essentials of Trading Club.



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